Market Analysis

The Federal Reserve changes leadership on Friday. Jerome Powell’s final act as Chair is Tuesday’s CPI print — and the Dollar’s technical structure is already leaning toward a verdict. That combination makes this an unusual week. It’s not just about what inflation prints. It’s about what a hotter or cooler reading means for the incoming…

Markets spent last week breaking records and waiting for permission to believe them. The Nasdaq and S&P closed at fresh all-time highs. The Magnificent 7 delivered record revenues. Five major central banks held without hiking, the Dollar fell sharply, and WTI Crude pushed back above $100. All of that is context. None of it is…

Five central bank decisions in four days. That alone makes this the most macro-intensive week of 2026. But it’s not just the volume — it’s the sequence. The Bank of Japan opens the week as the wildcard. Monday’s decision could send JPY pairs moving before the rest of the week even begins. Then Wednesday, the…

The peace rally is over. The Strait of Hormuz, which had briefly reopened and sent oil crashing nearly 10% in a single session on Friday, closed again on Saturday. The ceasefire that drove equities to fresh all-time highs expires on Wednesday, April 22. Without a formal extension or a signed deal, everything that was priced…

Peace talks collapsed in Islamabad after 21 hours. Trump announced a Hormuz blockade effective immediately. The ceasefire expires April 22, and neither side left Pakistan with a path forward. Markets had spent the back half of last week pricing in progress. WTI had already pulled back to $104.86 — down 3.12% on Friday — as…

Last week shifted the market narrative. A hawkish White House address on Thursday reversed the brief optimism that had lifted risk assets earlier in the week, while oil surged sharply as traders priced in the risk of a longer and more disruptive US-Iran conflict. WTI crude moved above $110 per barrel, forcing markets to reassess…

The Nasdaq is in correction. The dollar is at a monthly high not seen since July 2025. And Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls could reprice the entire rate narrative heading into April. Five straight weeks of losses for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. The VIX closed at 29.01 — not casual anxiety, that’s a market pricing in…

The FOMC held rates last week. What followed was one of the sharpest repricing moves of the year. This week, traders turn their attention to the speeches. For markets, the key question is not what the Fed decided on Wednesday, but whether the hawkish shift that followed represents a consensus across the FOMC or the…

The week ahead centres on one event: the Federal Reserve’s rate decision this Wednesday, March 18. Here’s what traders need to know before the week opens. For markets, the key question is not whether the Fed holds rates this week — that outcome is widely expected — but what the updated projections reveal about the…

The December 2025 market outlook is shaping up to be one of the most important year-end setups in recent history. With the Federal Reserve’s final meeting of the year, major data releases and powerful seasonal flows all converging, December could determine how stocks, gold and forex trade through the first quarter of 2026. Heading into…